| contributor author | Bosart, Lance F. | |
| contributor author | Landin, Michael G. | |
| date accessioned | 2017-06-09T14:49:18Z | |
| date available | 2017-06-09T14:49:18Z | |
| date copyright | 1994/12/01 | |
| date issued | 1994 | |
| identifier issn | 0882-8156 | |
| identifier other | ams-2754.pdf | |
| identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4164556 | |
| description abstract | An analysis of the 11-year (1983?1993) skill of subjective 24-h thunderstorm probability forecasts made by staff and students at the State University of New York at Albany is presented. Skill is measured relative to the long-term National Weather Service climatology of thunder heard at 10 U.S. cities using the well-known Brier verification score. The 11-year average skill was 21.8% (standard deviation of 3.9%), and the annual increase in skill was a disappointing 0.1%. The sample correlation coefficient between the frequency of thunder events and the year-to-year variability of forecast skill was 0.53 for all cities combined. | |
| publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
| title | An Assessment of Thunderstorm Probability Forecasting Skill | |
| type | Journal Paper | |
| journal volume | 9 | |
| journal issue | 4 | |
| journal title | Weather and Forecasting | |
| identifier doi | 10.1175/1520-0434(1994)009<0522:AAOTPF>2.0.CO;2 | |
| journal fristpage | 522 | |
| journal lastpage | 531 | |
| tree | Weather and Forecasting:;1994:;volume( 009 ):;issue: 004 | |
| contenttype | Fulltext | |
