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contributor authorVan Den Dool, H. M.
contributor authorRukhovets, L.
date accessioned2017-06-09T14:49:09Z
date available2017-06-09T14:49:09Z
date copyright1994/09/01
date issued1994
identifier issn0882-8156
identifier otherams-2748.pdf
identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4164489
description abstractA scheme to optimally weight the members of an ensemble of forecasts is discussed in the framework of calculating an as accurate as possible ensemble average. Results show, relative to a single member, a considerably improved 500-mb height forecast in the 6?10-day range for the Northern Hemisphere. The improvement is nontrivial and cannot be explained from simple smoothing. This method is used in operations at the National Meteorological Center.
publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
titleOn the Weights for an Ensemble-Averaged 6–10-Day Forecast
typeJournal Paper
journal volume9
journal issue3
journal titleWeather and Forecasting
identifier doi10.1175/1520-0434(1994)009<0457:OTWFAE>2.0.CO;2
journal fristpage457
journal lastpage465
treeWeather and Forecasting:;1994:;volume( 009 ):;issue: 003
contenttypeFulltext


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