Weather and Forecasting: Recent submissions
Now showing items 2321-2340 of 3043
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Modeling Coastally Trapped Wind Surges over Southeastern Australia. Part II: Intensity and Depth
(American Meteorological Society, 2000)A numerical weather prediction (NWP) model at the School of Mathematics, University of New South Wales, has been used to simulate the southerly buster, a southerly wind surge along the coast of New South Wales (NSW), which ... -
Analyzing and Forecasting Rocky Mountain Lee Cyclogenesis Often Associated with Strong Winds
(American Meteorological Society, 2000)Since numerical forecast models often err in predicting the timing and location of lee cyclogenesis, a physically based method to diagnose such errors is sought. A case of Rocky Mountain lee cyclogenesis associated with ... -
Utilization of Automatic Weather Station Data for Forecasting High Wind Speeds at Pegasus Runway, Antarctica
(American Meteorological Society, 2000)Reduced visibility due to blowing snow can severely hinder aircraft operations in the Antarctic. Wind speeds in excess of approximately 7?13 m s?1 can result in blowing snow. The ability to forecast high wind speed events ... -
The 12 July 1995 Pinellas County, Florida, Tornado/Waterspout
(American Meteorological Society, 2000)On 12 July 1995, a tornado developed over south St. Petersburg, Florida, producing F1 damage and injuring one person before moving offshore. The tornado/waterspout was within 25 km of the Ruskin Florida WSR-88D, which ... -
Verification of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts from Operational Numerical Weather Prediction Models over Australia
(American Meteorological Society, 2000)Real-time gridded 24-h quantitative precipitation forecasts from seven operational NWP models are verified over the Australian continent. All forecasts have been mapped to a 1° latitude?longitude grid and have been verified ... -
Impact of WSR-88D Scanning Strategies on Severe Storm Algorithms
(American Meteorological Society, 2000)The operational meteorological community generally recognizes that the greater spatial and temporal resolution of WSR-88D volume coverage pattern (VCP) 11 is preferable to VCP 21 when using algorithms to identify severe ... -
Verification of Categorical Probability Forecasts
(American Meteorological Society, 2000)This paper compares a number of probabilistic weather forecasting verification approaches. Forecasting skill scores from linear error in probability space and relative operating characteristics are compared with results ... -
Predicting Supercell Motion Using a New Hodograph Technique
(American Meteorological Society, 2000)A physically based, shear-relative, and Galilean invariant method for predicting supercell motion using a hodograph is presented. It is founded on numerous observational and modeling studies since the 1940s, which suggest ... -
Air Quality Forecasts in the Mid-Atlantic Region: Current Practice and Benchmark Skill
(American Meteorological Society, 2000)Air quality forecasts for the mid-Atlantic region (including the metropolitan areas of Baltimore, Washington, D.C., and Philadelphia) began in 1992. These forecasts were issued to the public beginning in 1995 and predict ... -
Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting for the Tennessee and Cumberland River Watersheds Using the NCEP Regional Spectral Model
(American Meteorological Society, 2000)A limited-area spectral model?the Regional Spectral Model?developed at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction is used to prepare daily quantitative precipitation forecasts out to 48 h for the Tennessee and ... -
An Alpine Rainstorm: Sensitivity to the Mesoscale Upper-Level Structure
(American Meteorological Society, 2000)Rainstorms that occur on the south side of the European Alps during spring and fall are usually accompanied at the tropopause level by a single elongated filament of intruded stratospheric air. This study examines the ... -
Editorial
(American Meteorological Society, 2000) -
Corrigendum
(American Meteorological Society, 1999) -
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Comments on “Display of Bird Movements on the WSR-88D: Patterns and Quantification”
(American Meteorological Society, 1999)No abstract available. -
Accuracy of ACARS Wind and Temperature Observations Determined by Collocation
(American Meteorological Society, 1999)A collocation study of meteorological reports from commercial aircraft relayed through the Aircraft Communications, Addressing, and Reporting System (ACARS) has been performed to estimate standard deviations of observation ... -
Lake-Effect Snowstorms in Northern Utah and Western New York with and without Lightning
(American Meteorological Society, 1999)Lake-effect snowstorms in northern Utah and western New York with and without lightning/thunder are examined. Lake-effect snowstorms with lightning have significantly higher temperatures and dewpoints in the lower troposphere ... -
On the Forecasting of Orogenic Mesoscale Convective Complexes
(American Meteorological Society, 1999)Evidence is presented to support the hypothesis that mesoscale convective complexes (MCCs) near the Rocky Mountains are more likely to form when the middle-tropospheric relative humidity is greater than average and the ... -
The Notion of “Best Predictors”: An Application to Tornado Prediction
(American Meteorological Society, 1999)It is argued that the strength of a predictor is an ill-defined concept. At best, it is contingent on many assumptions, and, at worst, it is an ambiguous quantity. It is shown that many of the contingencies are met (or ... -
Summertime Convective Storm Environments in Central Arizona: Local Observations
(American Meteorological Society, 1999)The daily evolution of local surface conditions at Phoenix, Arizona, and the characteristics of the 1200 UTC sounding at Tucson, Arizona, have been examined to determine important meteorological features that lead to ...