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Medium-Range Forecasting for the Number of Daily Forest Fires
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In an earlier work, the authors introduced an objective forecast model for a 24-h prediction of the number of daily forest fires based on a 2-day lag autoregressive model. The meteorological inputs required for this model ...
An Objective Forecasting Model for the Daily Outbreak of Forest Fires Based on Meteorological Considerations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Daily fire risk (DFR) is a forecasting index defined on the basis of two meteorological parameters. Such parameters are associated with the local atmospheric column: dry stability e in 850?700-hPa layer and saturation ...
Meteorology and Forest Fires: Conditions for Ignition and Conditions for Development
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Following the theoretical model proposed in previous papers in which four types of days and their associated fire risk (daily fire risk, DFR) were defined for each size of fire, the authors conclude that the meteorological ...
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