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RISOn Using “Climatology” as a Reference Strategy in the Brier and Ranked Probability Skill Scores
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Brier and ranked probability skill scores are widely used as skill metrics of probabilistic forecasts of weather and climate. As skill scores, they compare the extent to which a forecast strategy outperforms a (usually ...
The 1997/98 Summer Rainfall Season in Southern Africa. Part II: Model Simulations and Coupled Model Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This is the second of a two-part investigation of rainfall in southern Africa during the strong El Niño of 1997/98. In Part I it was shown that widespread drought in southern Africa, typical of past El Niño events occurring ...
Discussion of “Finite Strain, Anisotropic Modified Cam Clay Model with Plastic Spin. I: Theory” by George Z. Voyiadjis and Chung R. Song
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Discussion of “Finite Strain, Anisotropic Modified Cam Clay Model with Plastic Spin. II: Application to Piezocone Test” by George Z. Voyiadjis and Chung R. Song
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
The 1997–98 Summer Rainfall Season in Southern Africa. Part I: Observations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Following the onset of the strong El Niño of 1997?98 historical rainfall teleconnection patterns and dynamical model predictions both suggested an enhanced likelihood of drought for southern Africa, but widespread dry ...
Probabilistic Precipitation Anomalies Associated with ENSO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Extreme phases of the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon have been blamed for precipitation anomalies in many areas of the world. In some areas the probability of above?normal precipitation may be increased ...
High-Resolution Monitoring of Weather Impacts on Infrastructure Networks Using the Internet of Things
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe impacts of weather and climate on infrastructure are numerous: snow and ice on roads, railway buckling, leaves on the line, wind impacts on power cabling, etc. Advances in modeling mean that these impacts can ...
Multilayered Capillary Barrier Systems: Analytical, Numerical, and Experimental Study
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: AbstractCapillary barrier systems (CBSs) are geotechnical structures that are used to limit
rainwater infiltration into the underlying soil. The conventional layout of CBSs consists
of a finer-grained layer overlying a ...
A Comparison of Long-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Models
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: This paper presents a time series analysis of historical observations of wind speed in order to project future wind speed trends. For this study, 52 years of data have been used from seven ...
Predictive Modeling of Storm-Water Runoff Quantity and Quality for a Large Urban Watershed
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: A predictive model for storm-water runoff was implemented on a GIS platform based on the unit area loading method and Browne’s empirical relation for soil characteristics for the Upper Ballona Creek Watershed in Los Angeles. ...