Abstract: One potential way to improve the skill of medium-range weather forecasts is to improve the evolution of Rossby waves, which largely modulate extratropical weather. Recent research has hypothesized that the predictability ...

Abstract: Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity has been shown to have limited predictability in numerical weather prediction models; therefore, ensemble forecasting may be critical. An ensemble prediction system (EPS) should ideally cover ...

Abstract: To better understand the conditions that favor tropical cyclone (TC) rapid intensification (RI), this study assesses environmental and storm-scale characteristics that differentiate TCs that undergo RI from TCs that undergo ...