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An Experiment on Risk-Based Decision-Making in Water Management Using Monthly Probabilistic Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he use of probabilistic forecasts is necessary to take into account uncertainties and allow for optimal risk-based decisions in streamflow forecasting at monthly to seasonal lead times. Such probabilistic forecasts have ...
How Suitable is Quantile Mapping For Postprocessing GCM Precipitation Forecasts?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractGCMs are used by many national weather services to produce seasonal outlooks of atmospheric and oceanic conditions and fluxes. Postprocessing is often a necessary step before GCM forecasts can be applied in practice. ...
Challenges of Operational River Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: killful and timely streamflow forecasts are critically important to water managers and emergency protection services. To provide these forecasts, hydrologists must predict the behavior of complex coupled human?natural ...
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