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FORECASTING THE MOTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONES USING A NUMERICALLY DERIVED STEERING CURRENT AND ITS BIAS
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The vector motion of severe tropical cyclones (including storm, hurricane/typhoon stages) is forecasted by a numerical scheme which involves two steps: a. Numerical geostrophic steering of the center of the cyclone using ...
The U. S. Navy Numerical Frontal Analysis Scheme: Further Development and a Limited Evaluation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Essentials of the U. S. Navy's numerical frontal analysis model, employing special second derivatives of the potential temperature field, are reviewed. The scheme is extended to include frontal-prognosis problems, visual ...
EXPERIMENTS IN NUMERICAL OBJECTIVE FRONTAL ANALYSIS
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A major area of weather analysis still requiring manual subjective determination is that of locating fronts. The experiments reported on here concern an attempt to incorporate objective frontal analysis into the operational ...
The Navy's Numerical Hurricane and Typhoon Forecast Scheme: Application to 1967 Atlantic Storm Data
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Renard recently reported (Monthly Weather Review, July 1968) on the development of a numerical scheme for predicting the motion of tropical storms for periods up to three days. An extension of the forecast scheme, as ...
Estimating Marine Fog Probability Using a Model Output Statistics Scheme
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A model output statistics (MOS) scheme, using a stepwise-selection multiple linear regression approach, is used to estimate marine fog probability at 24 h intervals from 0 to 48 h, for the North Pacific Ocean (30?60°N) ...
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