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RISPredictability of Week-3–4 Average Temperature and Precipitation over the Contiguous United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis paper demonstrates that an operational forecast model can skillfully predict week-3?4 averages of temperature and precipitation over the contiguous United States. This skill is demonstrated at the gridpoint ...
Sources of Bias in the Monthly CFSv2 Forecast Climatology
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractForecast climatologies are used to remove systematic errors from forecasts and to express forecasts as departures from normal. Forecast climatologies are computed from hindcasts by various averaging, smoothing, and ...
The North American Multimodel Ensemble: Phase-1 Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction; Phase-2 toward Developing Intraseasonal Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: t U.S. National Academies report, Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability, was unequivocal in recommending the need for the development of a North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) ...