Abstract: The atmospheric part of a pre-existing, interacting atmosphere and ocean model has been simplified considerably to provide a 3-yr prediction of intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) behavior under the influence of seasonally ...

Abstract: In response to the increasing availability of satellite and aircraft temperature observations on the periphery of tropical cyclones, archived thickness and geopotential height data from National Meteorological Center ...

Abstract: A simple, two-layer numerical model of the upper tropical ocean has been added to a pre-existing primitive-equation model of a zonally symmetric tropical atmosphere to predict a north-south profile of sea-surface temperature ...

Abstract: Tropical cyclone track forecast error ranges widely among individual storms, as well as globally. To study its regional variability, structurally identical climatology-and-persistence (CLIPER) track forecast models were ...