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Hydrometeorological Accuracy Enhancement via Postprocessing of Numerical Weather Forecasts in Complex Terrain
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Statistical postprocessing techniques such as model output statistics are used by national weather centers to improve the skill of numerical forecasts. However, many of these techniques require an extensive database to ...
Evaluation of Probabilistic Medium-Range Temperature Forecasts from the North American Ensemble Forecast System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Ensemble temperature forecasts from the North American Ensemble Forecast System were assessed for quality against observations for 10 cities in western North America, for a 7-month period beginning in February 2007. ...
Hydrometeorological Short-Range Ensemble Forecasts in Complex Terrain. Part I: Meteorological Evaluation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper addresses the question of whether it is better to include lower-resolution members of a nested suite of numerical precipitation forecasts to increase ensemble size, or to utilize high-resolution members only to ...
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Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Hydrometeorological Short-Range Ensemble Forecasts in Complex Terrain. Part II: Economic Evaluation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Two economic models are employed to perform a value assessment of short-range ensemble forecasts of 24-h precipitation probabilities for hydroelectric reservoir operation. Using a static cost?loss model, the value of the ...
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