Abstract: The medium-range forecast model (MRF) provides the basic guidance for the 3?5-day extended forecast issued by individual Weather Service Forecast Offices. The ability of the MRF to forecast shorter synoptic, subsynoptic, ...

Abstract: Since the probability of precipitation (PoP) appears in the forecasts of the National Weather Service (NWS), it is important that both the forecaster and user fully grasp the subtleties of the meaning of PoP. A brief review ...