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The Sensitivity of the Number of Correctly Forecasted Events to the Threat Score:A Practical Application
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The sensitivity (S) of the number of correctly forecast events (?hits?) to changes in threat score is explored. An emphasis is placed on the practical utility of S for end users of operational systems who may need to further ...
An Observations-Based Statistical System for Warm-Season Hourly Probabilistic Forecasts of Low Ceiling at the San Francisco International Airport
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A computational system that uses statistical equations to forecast hourly probabilities of marine stratus burn-off (via ceiling) at the San Francisco International Airport for 1?6-h lead times is developed. The system is ...
Assessing the Short-Term Forecast Capability of Nonstandardized Surface Observations Using the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The number of surface observations from nonstandardized networks across the United States has appreciably increased the last several years. Automated Weather Services, Inc. (AWS), maintains one example of this type of ...
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