Abstract: The low-frequency response to changes in external forcing for the climate system is a fundamental issue. In two recent papers the authors developed a new blended response algorithm for predicting the response of a nonlinear ...

Abstract: inear response to external perturbation through the fluctuation?dissipation theorem has recently become a popular topic in the climate research community. It relates an external perturbation of climate dynamics to climate ...

Abstract: A predictability framework, based on relative entropy, is applied here to low-frequency variability in a standard T21 barotropic model on the sphere with realistic orography. Two types of realistic climatology, corresponding ...