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RISA Reformulation of Tropical Cyclone Potential Intensity Theory Incorporating Energy Production along a Radial Trajectory
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: modified formula for calculating tropical cyclone (TC) potential intensity (PI) from a balance between energy production and frictional dissipation in the TC surface layer is developed. This modified formula accounts for ...
Regression Mixture Model Clustering of Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts of Hurricane Sandy: Partition Characteristics
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: rack and cyclone phase space (CPS) forecasts of Hurricane Sandy from four global ensemble prediction systems are clustered using regression mixture models. Bayesian information criterion, cluster assignment strength, and ...
Thermodynamic Observations and Flux Calculations of the Tropical Cyclone Surface Layer within the Context of Potential Intensity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: hermodynamic variables including temperature, humidity, and equivalent potential temperature are obtained and calculated from 88 buoy and C-MAN time series of 38 Atlantic hurricanes. Radial profiles of these variables are ...
Use of Multiensemble Track Clustering to Inform Medium-Range Tropical Cyclone Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Use of Ensemble Forecasts to Investigate Synoptic Influences on the Structural Evolution and Predictability of Hurricane Alex (2016) in the Midlatitudes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractHurricane Alex was an extremely rare hurricane event, the first North Atlantic hurricane to form in January since 1938. Alex developed from an extratropical low pressure system that formed over the western North ...